India's economy is out of the woods: ICICI CEO

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 10 Januari 2014 | 15.45

After India's growth rate halved over the past few years, the worst is finally over, says Chanda Kochhar, chief executive officer of ICICI Bank -- the country's largest private sector bank.

"The worst is over...export-oriented companies are doing better because of the adjustment in the rupee. We brought a lot of control on our current account deficit (and) the government is quite focused on [controlling] the fiscal deficit," Kochhar said on CNBC's Managing Asia.

"All of those things have meant that we've brought the slide down to an end," she added.

However, the recovery in Asia's third largest economy will be slow and gradual, says Kochhar, and will largely depend on a revival in investments.

(Read more: US-India spat: Watch it, don't fret it )

India's slowdown has posed grave challenges for the country's banking sector, which has seen a spike in nonperforming assets as companies struggle to repay loans.

Bad debt at Indian banks rose to 4.2 percent of total loans at the end of September, nearly doubling since 2009, according to data from the central bank.

Kochhar says while she is "confident" about ICICI's asset quality, the bank's corporate loan portfolio is being actively monitored.

"If you look at the consumer side of the portfolio, which is mortgages, car loans, there is actually no pressure at all. But when you look at the corporate side, I think the stress is different across projects," she said.

"Power projects are differently placed to road projects. There's difference stress across different companies across different groups based on their leverage levels. So it's a time of heightened monitoring and control," she added.

Despite India's sluggish economy, Kochhar expects the country's banking sector will continue to grow at double-digit rates.

"My belief is India's banking industry will continue to grow at two and a half times the GDP [gross domestic product] growth rate," she said. India's economy is expected to register a growth rate of less than 5 percent in the year to March 2014, well below the near double-digit growth seen in 2010.

For ICICI, this expansion will come from increased focus on the bank's secured consumer lending business including home and car loans.

"This is prudent approach because the credit experience around these products has been very stable even during the lowest of economic cycles," she said.

Copyright 2011 cnbc.com


ICICI Bank stock price

On January 10, 2014, at 14:14 hrs ICICI Bank was quoting at Rs 1032.50, down Rs 19, or 1.81 percent. The 52-week high of the share was Rs 1236.90 and the 52-week low was Rs 758.80.


The company's trailing 12-month (TTM) EPS was at Rs 79.51 per share as per the quarter ended September 2013. The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 12.99. The latest book value of the company is Rs 577.67 per share. At current value, the price-to-book value of the company is 1.79.


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